Figure 16 compares the R&D and six deployment policies examined here (referred to in the figure
as the Pew Center Study) with the EIA's  Reference Case Forecast  and its  High Technology Alternative
Scenario  for the building sector. The EIA high technology case assumes that modeled technologies are
introduced into the marketplace more rapidly than they are in the reference case, as a result of increased
R&D. Market transformation policies are not enhanced in the high technology scenario. Thus, it results in
only a modest reduction in energy consumption in 2025, relative to the forecasted growth. The R&D and
Figure 16
Scenarios of U.S.
Energy Use and Carbon Emissions
in the Buildings Sector: 2002 to 2025
60
EIA Reference Case
50
EIA High Tech Case
40
Pew Center Study
30
0
+
Annual Energy Consumption (Quads)
2002
2010
2015
2020
2025
0
1100
1000
EIA High Economic Growth
900
800
EIA Reference Case
700
Pew Center Study
xide Emissions 
600
500
from Buildings (MMTC)
100
Carbon Dio
0
+
2002
2010
2015
2020
2025
0
60
+
Towards a Climate Friendly  
Built Environment
<





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