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Chapter 5:
Analysis of historical price data ...............................................................30
5.1 Introduction...........................................................................................30
5.2 Review historical price data...................................................................30
      5.2.1 Data coverage...............................................................................30
      5.2.2 Graphical analysis of price trends .................................................31
                5.2.2.1 Step 1: Understanding seasonal patterns...........................32
             5.2.2.2 Step 2: Characterizing price relationships across
                commodities in the same market......................................33
    5.2.2.3 Step 3: Characterizing price relationships for a
                 single commodity across markets....................................34
    5.2.2.4 Step 4: Understanding relative prices...............................35
5.3 Historical case studies ...........................................................................37
       5.3.1 Devaluation in the Sahel (1994)...................................................37
       5.3.2 Looking at nominal and real prices in Zambia .............................38
       5.3.3 Price changes of processed versus unprocessed maize in
                Lusaka, Zambia............................................................................40
       
5.3.4 Unexpected price beha vior in a rural market in Uganda..............41
Chapter 6:
Routine market analysis and reporting ...................................................43
6.1 Introduction...........................................................................................43
6.2 Routine market analysis.........................................................................43
       6.2.1 Data processing activities.............................................................43
        6.2.2 Analysis activities .......................................................................44
6.3 Fundamentals of reporting.....................................................................45
       6.3.1 Knowing your target audience/user group....................................45
       6.3.2 Report information not data .........................................................45
       6.3.3 So what?: Assessing the impact of unusual price patterns  ...........46
       6.3.4 Analyze more than you report......................................................47
       6.3.5 Other fundamental reporting concepts..........................................48
6.4 Reporting formats and suggestions ........................................................48
       6.4.1 Suggested presentation formats....................................................48
       6.4.2 Presentation suggestions ..............................................................50
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