69
resettlement are desirable over the next several years, and in
Bosnia the USAID rehabilitation program is particularly directed
toward that, the uncertainties are too great in each of these to
project what numerical decrease in these groups can be expected.
Agency Strategic Goal:
Lives Saved, Suffering associated with natural
or man made disasters reduced, and conditions
necessary for political and/or economic
development re established
Indicators:
Number of people displaced by open conflict
Source:
World Refugee Survey; U.S. Committee on Refugees
Performance Goal 3:
Conditions for
YEAR
1996
1999
social and economic development
improved in conflict, post conflict and
PLANNED*
25.5
rapid transition countries.
ACTUAL*
29.0
Millions of people displaced
AFR
PLN
10
ACT
11.4
ANE
PLN
8
ACT
9.3
LAC
PLN
1
ACT
1.3
ENI
PLN
6.5
ACT
7.0
Comment(s)
:*
Refugee and IDPs are direct consequence of crisis and
conflict.
Increases and decreases in their number are good and direct
indication of changing trends of open conflict.
For this performance
goal, the Agency is using the country of origin as the basis for
determining the base line for indicators to determine trends.
To the
extent that the Agency working with the Department of State, other
donors and regional institutions and governments and civil society is
successful in crisis and conflict prevention, promoting economic and
social transitions, there should be a noticeable downward trend in
refugees and IDP over the next ten years.
To the extent that the
Dayton Peace Accords are successful, there should be, for example,
significant drop in those refugee and IDP populations, in the former
Yugoslavia.
West Bank Gaza refugees are included in this total;
however, given the political and economic significance of this group,
significant repatriation remains in question.
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