Agency Strategic Goal:
Broad based economic growth and agricultural
Indicators: Difference between average annual growth rate of agriculture
and average annual growth rate of population.
World Development Indicators (Table 1, 2.l); USAID calculations
Performance Goal 2:
Average annual growth
in agriculture at least as high as
population growth in low income countries.
Percentage of countries meeting
The base period is the five year period 1990 1995.
benchmark is the average for the five year period ending in 1998.
Proportion of the population in poverty reduced by 25%.
Data on poverty appear sporadically.
The data on growth
and poverty suggest that average annual growth in per capita
income at 1 to 2% annually is sufficient to achieve the poverty
target, provided growth is not narrowly based.
Sub Saharan Africa:
We expect that a majority of the countries
in the region will achieve growth over the 1995 1999 period that
is sufficient to meet the poverty goal.
Thus, progress towards
the poverty target in Africa will be significant, but by no means
Asia and Near East:
Growth in per capita income in most of the
countries of this region has surpassed two percent in recent
In the others (Egypt, Mongolia, Morocco, and Philippines)
recent trends are encouraging.
In view of expected growth
performance, we expect poverty data that appear between now and
1999 to confirm satisfactory progress towards the 25% poverty
reduction goal for most countries in the region.